Correlation != Causation
Everyone repeat after me… Correlation does not imply causation! Just because two things can be proven to correlate does not guarantee a cause and effect relationship. Here’s a funny example from the Wikipedia article on the topic (courtesy The Simpsons):
Homer: Not a bear in sight. The “Bear Patrol” is working like a charm!
Lisa: That’s specious reasoning, Dad.
Homer: [uncomprehendingly] Thanks, honey.
Lisa: By your logic, I could claim that this rock keeps tigers away.
Homer: Hmm. How does it work?
Lisa: It doesn’t work. (pause) It’s just a stupid rock!
Homer: Uh-huh.
Lisa: But I don’t see any tigers around, do you?
Homer: (pause) Lisa, I want to buy your rock.
Please please please stop assuming that determining a cause and effect relationship is as straightforward as observing a correlation. It’s not.
Note: I know the !=
operator is not equivalent to “does not imply.” But I am
too lazy right now to see if there’s even a Unicode character for the right symbol.